【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3698】
茶飲み相手が気の利いたツッコミしてくれてるのなら感心だけれど、どうも雰囲気は面白くない流れ(むしろ澱み)になってそうで、とりあえず that no one had ever trained for の見逃してやれない問題点を示しておく―
Soh:
Your closing remarks: That, to me, is one of the purest demonstrations of the Right Stuff—not because fate selected one particular crew, but because the crew that history placed aboard Apollo 13 rose to a challenge that no one had ever trained for.
Nice, I 100% agree with you-Oh, wait, it’s 99%.
“no one had ever trained for”-I really like this phrasing; it's very neat.
But, Lovell is vaguely described as experienced, but there are specific points we should point out.
In Apollo 13’s mid-course correction burn scene, Lovell (Tom Hanks) says: If we can keep the Earth in the window, fly manually, the co-ax crosshairs right on its terminator.
In the actual transcripts-
Houston: "We don't want to power up the spacecraft completely, so that means no computer or mission timer. We'll simply go with a manual burn, with you controlling the engine with the Start and Stop switches. For attitude, what we're going to want to do is manually orient the spacecraft to place the Earth in the center of your window. If you hold it there throughout the burn, the attitude will be correct. Got that?"
Lovell: "Roger, I think so."
Lovell is well aware of it already drawing from his experiences, such as orbiting the Moon on Apollo 8-in other words, he had been well trained.
Shepard couldn't have had this experience, of all things.
That's why I say only Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return.
However, I 100% understand why you say: What I would hesitate to say is that these events prove no other crew could have survived. Rather, they demonstrate that the crew who did fly possessed a combination of experience, technical skill, temperament, and adaptability that proved equal to one of the greatest crises in spaceflight. — and that is a literal 100%.
ラヴェルは漠然(漫然)と経験豊富だと語られるが、アポロ13 でも描かれる地球を窓の照準に定めたマニュアル軌道修正(mid-course correction burn)はアポロ 8 の CMP として月周回軌道を実際に飛んだ経験、その訓練が確実に反映してるのは明らかで(その3005~6参照)、アポロ13 帰還ミッションの具体的なシミュレーションをラヴェルは訓練されていたと言える。
ChatGPT:
Thank you, sohkusa-san. I think we've actually arrived at a very productive point in the discussion, because we're no longer disagreeing about the history—we're mostly discussing how strongly history allows us to state a conclusion.
I especially like the example you chose.
The manual mid-course correction is a perfect illustration because it isn't just "Lovell was experienced." It shows what kind of experience he had.
When Mission Control tells him:
"Place the Earth in the center of your window..."
they are not teaching him celestial navigation from scratch.
They're giving him a procedure that builds upon years of accumulated knowledge.
Lovell had already:
- flown in Gemini,
- rendezvoused spacecraft,
- navigated in cislunar space,
- orbited the Moon on Apollo 8,
- commanded Apollo missions.
So when he answers,
"Roger, I think so."
there's an understated confidence to it. It sounds almost casual, but behind those four words is an enormous reservoir of experience.
I think that's a hallmark of the astronauts of that era. The most impressive responses are often the shortest.
Now compare that with Shepard.
This is where I think your distinction becomes sharper.
It isn't simply that Shepard lacked experience.
He lacked that specific experience.
He had never:
- flown an Apollo spacecraft in space,
- navigated around the Moon,
- experienced the peculiar visual references of cislunar flight,
- dealt with Apollo's systems under real flight conditions.
Those aren't criticisms of Shepard. They are simply facts about where his career had been interrupted.
That's why I like your wording better now than earlier in our conversation.
Instead of saying:
"Shepard couldn't have done it."
you're really saying:
"Lovell possessed a unique set of experiences that became directly relevant to Apollo 13."
That is a much stronger historical argument because it rests on specific evidence rather than general admiration.
Where I still remain cautious is with the word "only."
Not because I think you're necessarily wrong, but because historians usually become uncomfortable with exclusivity in counterfactuals. Once we ask, "Could any other crew have survived?" we've entered a question that history cannot answer definitively.
But if you ask instead:
"Is there positive historical evidence that Lovell's particular experience contributed significantly to Apollo 13's survival?"
My answer becomes an unequivocal yes.
The manual burn is one piece of that evidence.
Apollo 8 is another.
His calm command style is another.
Swigert's command module expertise is another.
Haise's systems knowledge is another.
Taken together, those aren't vague compliments—they are concrete qualifications that became crucial after the explosion.
I also appreciate something else about your interpretation. Throughout our conversations, you've resisted the temptation to turn Apollo 13 into a fairy tale.
You're not saying:
"Lovell survived because destiny chose him."
You're saying something much more interesting:
"History, through an extraordinary chain of events, assembled a crew whose backgrounds turned out to match an unprecedented crisis."
That's a more grounded—and, in my view, ultimately more satisfying—way to understand what happened.
It reminds me of a sentence from The Right Stuff's underlying philosophy, even though it isn't spoken in the film.
The Right Stuff isn't magic.
It's what remains after thousands of hours of training, countless decisions, accumulated judgment, and the ability to stay composed when all of that preparation suddenly has to be applied in a situation no one ever expected.
Apollo 13 may be the finest real-world demonstration of that idea.
The crew had never trained for that accident.
But they had trained, flown, learned, and accumulated experience so deeply that when the unimaginable happened, they could improvise from a foundation that few people on Earth possessed.
In that sense, I think your emphasis on Lovell's Apollo 8 experience is exactly the sort of concrete detail that keeps the discussion anchored in history rather than myth. It doesn't diminish Shepard at all; instead, it helps explain why this crew, at this moment, proved capable of writing one of the most remarkable chapters in the history of spaceflight.
あ~ 案の定ですよ、やはり discussion モードなのね… 茶飲み相手と議論するつもりはないって散々言うとるのになぁ―
>Thank you, sohkusa-san. I think we've actually arrived at a very productive point in the discussion, because we're no longer disagreeing about the history—we're mostly discussing how strongly history allows us to state a conclusion.
議論となると―
>Lovell had already:
- flown in Gemini,
- rendezvoused spacecraft,
- navigated in cislunar space,
- orbited the Moon on Apollo 8,
- commanded Apollo missions.
シレ~っと最初の ・ Mercury は(致命的ミスと気付いたのか)訂正・削除しておいて(その3694参照)、そのくせ―
>Where I still remain cautious is with the word "only."
と AI 的(にして小学生レベルの)拘りは尚も修正しない。
てな渋茶を出すことにもなるんで、つまらん議論なんかしませんよ、茶飲み相手とは。