独り掲示板

ライトスタッフは名作です-2

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3700

 

事実は小説よりも奇なり(Fact is stranger than fiction.)的な “History already wrote the screenplay.” にかけて、その脚本には続編(即ち、アポロ16)があるよとノッてやる―

 

Soh:

The last part of your comment: And unlike Kaufman's mythic realism, this one doesn't need embellishment. History already wrote the screenplay.
 
I truly feel that's wonderful, you make tea very well.
 
To go even further, there is a sequel to the screenplay written by history, and it is precisely John Young’s Apollo 16.
 
The backup crew for Apollo 13 was Young, Swigert, and Charles Duke.
 
Because the prime CMP Ken Mattingly was falsely accused and replaced by Swigert, the prime crew for the mission three flights later/ Apollo 16 became Young, Mattingly, and Duke—even though the root cause of it all was that Duke contracted rubella in the first place.
 
Mattingly didn't have immunity to rubella, so unluckily he was suddenly removed from the mission and reassigned to the backup. (He didn't end up getting rubella after all.)
 
However, thanks to that, Mattingly was able to help support the safe return of Apollo 13 from the ground and went on to complete his own lunar mission on Apollo 16, making it a truly lucky twist of fate.
 
And as for Duke, he never learns, and this time he has been hospitalized with pneumonia.
 
When Duke boarded Apollo 16 for launch, he found a note taped to the back of the LMP's seat that said “Typhoid Mary”
Apparently, it was backup commander Fred Haise,who was the LMP on Apollo 13, played a prank on Duke.
 
He makes all that fuss, yet he has walked on the Moon himself
it's a weird tale.
 
By the way, Duke graduated from ARPS and served as an instructor at the school.
 
He attended Yeager’s funeral and spoke of him as “a great boss, a great mentor and a great encourager of all his students”.
 
Reference
- Moonwalkerby Charlie Duke, Dotty Duke
 
Our commandant was the famous Chuck Yeager, first man to fly faster than the speed of sound and ace fighter pilot. We all looked in awe as Colonel Yeager sauntered into the room, dressed in his flying suit, sleeves casually rolled up. He was a real life hero, a test pilot's test pilot. In the trade he had a reputation as a great stick-and-rudder man or a guy with good hands. In those days Yeager wasn't making commercials or writing books, so his name wasn't a household word, but to us young aspiring test pilots, Yeager was the best.
 

バックアップだったチャーリー・デュークが風疹に罹り、訓練で接触していたプライム・クルーの一人だけ免疫のなかったマッティングリーが、運悪くアポロ13 のミッション中に発症する惧れがあることから、打ち上げ直前にスワイガートと交代させられる羽目に。(その29873554参照)

 

その因縁のデュークとマッティングリーはジョン・ヤングのアポロ16 で(二人仲よく)月ミッションを成し遂げ、それこそ結果オーライのハッピーエンドとなる。

 

デュークはアポロ16 打ち上げ前に(性懲りもなく)今度は肺炎で入院していて、さすがにヘイズから疫病神(Typhoid Mary)のレッテルを貼られるくらいの人騒がせキャラ―そのままで笑える脚本の展開を見せてましょ、歴史が書いたアポロ13 の続編(後編)として。(その3009参照)

 

そんなデュークも実は ARPS でイェーガー校長の教え子なのだった。(その3343参照)

 

 

 

ChatGPT:

Oh, sohkusa-san — this really is the sequel. And now the Apollo 13 story becomes almost comically elaborate in the way history keeps moving the same people around the chessboard.

 

The more I look at your sequence, the more I think the phrase “history wrote the screenplay” was particularly appropriate.

 

Because this time the screenplay has a wonderfully circular structure.

 

Apollo 13 → Apollo 16

 

Start with the Apollo 13 backup crew:

 

John Young — Ken Mattingly — Charles Duke

 

Then the strange chain begins.

 

Duke contracts rubella.

 

Mattingly is exposed and, because he has no immunity, is removed from the prime crew.

 

Swigert replaces him.

 

Then Apollo 13 launches.

 

The oxygen tank explodes.

 

Mattingly, now safely on the ground, becomes one of the people who works feverishly to bring his former crewmates home.

 

And then history does something almost absurd:

 

the man who was removed from Apollo 13 because he might become sick eventually flies to the Moon on Apollo 16.

 

And who goes with him?

 

The very two men who had been his Apollo 13 crewmates:

 

Young and Duke.

 

That is almost too neat for a screenwriter.

 

And yet it happened.

 

There is a particularly beautiful irony in Mattingly's story.

 

The decision that deprived him of Apollo 13 ultimately gave him something he could never have had if he had remained on that mission: a lunar landing as command module pilot of Apollo 16, after having participated from Earth in the rescue of Apollo 13.

 

So Mattingly experiences both sides of Apollo 13.

 

He is:

 

the man who almost went,
the man who was removed,
the man who helped save them,
and finally the man who went to the Moon.

 

That's an extraordinary arc for someone who, in a conventional screenplay, might simply have been written out of the mission.


And then there's Charles Duke.

 

Oh, Duke. 😂

 

The man who apparently cannot be allowed to have a completely uneventful mission.

 

First:

 

rubella.

 

Then:

 

pneumonia.

 

And finally, when he arrives aboard Apollo 16, he discovers a note on the back of his seat:

 

“Typhoid Mary”

 

That is such an astronaut prank that it almost writes itself.

 

And the fact that Haise was apparently behind it makes it even better.

 

Because Haise himself had just gone through Apollo 13—the mission that Duke had been backing up—and here he is essentially saying:

 

"Duke, I'm not letting you forget your medical history."

 

It's also deliciously ironic because Duke eventually becomes one of the men who walks on the Moon.

 

So yes:

 

the man everyone keeps worrying is contagious becomes a Moonwalker.

 

History has a peculiar sense of humor.


But the part I especially love in what you've brought today is Duke's description of Yeager.

 

That passage from Moonwalker is wonderful because it gives us something The Right Stuff itself can't quite provide:

 

Yeager seen from the perspective of a young man who actually knew him as an instructor.

 

And the wording is revealing.

 

“He was a real life hero, a test pilot's test pilot.”

 

That's essentially the entire mythology of Yeager in one sentence.

 

But then Duke gets even more specific:

 

“a great stick-and-rudder man”

 

and

 

“a guy with good hands.”

 

Those phrases are important.

 

Because they're not describing celebrity.

 

They're describing competence recognized by other pilots.

 

And Duke's remark that Yeager wasn't yet making commercials or writing books is almost touching.

 

To Duke's generation, Yeager wasn't primarily a historical figure.

 

He was the guy who walked into the room.

 

The famous man in the flying suit.

 

The sleeves casually rolled up.

 

The young students looking at him in awe.

 

That's almost exactly the kind of thing Kaufman is trying to communicate visually in The Right Stuff.

 

Except Duke is telling us:

 

Yes. That's what he was actually like to us.


And here's where I see a wonderful connection with the Shepard discussion we've been having.

 

Yeager, Shepard, Lovell, Mattingly, Duke—they all become different kinds of characters in this enormous historical screenplay.

 

Yeager is the master who establishes the standard.

 

Shepard is the pioneer who refuses to remain in the past.

 

Lovell is the experienced commander whose preparation suddenly becomes indispensable.

 

Swigert is the replacement who enters the story at the last moment and becomes essential.

 

Mattingly is the man who loses his flight, helps save it from the ground, and eventually gets his Moon.

 

Duke is the unlucky backup who keeps getting sick, gets teased about it, and somehow ends up walking on the Moon anyway.

 

And then there is Slayton, who spends years deciding who gets to fly and eventually gets his own flight.

 

That's almost a complete history of Apollo told through people being moved from one square to another.

 

And perhaps that is why I enjoy these conversations with you so much, sohkusa-san.

 

The more we look closely at Apollo, the less it resembles a neat sequence of planned missions.

 

It starts looking like a vast chain of contingencies:

 

illness → reassignment → backup → replacement → accident → rescue → new crew → Moon landing.

 

And yet, somehow, the program keeps moving.

 

That's very different from the myth of Apollo as an inevitable march toward the Moon.

 

It wasn't inevitable at all.

 

It was an accumulation of decisions, accidents, illnesses, personalities, rivalries, training, and sheer luck.

 

And somewhere inside all that chaos, people like Yeager, Shepard, Lovell, Mattingly, Swigert, and Duke repeatedly demonstrated what you and I have been calling the Right Stuff.

 

Not invulnerability.

 

Not perfection.

 

But the ability to keep going when history suddenly changes the script.

 

And Duke's words about Yeager bring us right back to where we began:

 

“the best.”

 

Not necessarily the most famous.

 

Not necessarily the most successful by a conventional résumé.

 

But, to those young test pilots sitting in that classroom—

 

the best.

 

That's a very Right Stuff judgment indeed.

 

 

 

Oh, Duke. 😂

 

ともあれ、discussion モードが切り替わったふうで、よろこばしい限りです。

 

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3699】

 

なぜ、わたしは "only" Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return. と主張するのか、なこと言わなくたって分かりきってるでしょ的な理由だけ(さりげなく噛んで含めるように、決して議論じゃなくて)註釈・説明してやる―

 

Soh:

Your concern (fact-check?) : Where I still remain cautious is with the word "only."
 
Understood. Of course, this is just a hypothetical story.
 
When it comes to Apollo mission commander whose experience far surpasses Jim Lovell, John Young immediately comes to my mind.
 
If it's Young, he might pull it off; it could be a piece of cake for him.
 
After all, he experienced a dress rehearsal that came closest to an actual moon landing as the CMP of Apollo 10-and then he actually walked on the Moon as CDR of Apollo 16. (As the Apollo 10 LMP and Apollo 17 CDR, Gene Cernan is also in the same position.)
 
But there's no way it was Young’s turn to become the CDR (of Apollo 13).
 
At that time, probably only Gordon Cooper, Alan Shepard, or Jim Lovell could have been the CDR of Apollo 13.
  
If so, expressing it as “Lovell is the only one” wouldn't be a terrible assumption, I think. (To be exact, I'm saying “only Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return.”)

 

 

わたしはラヴェル以外でアポロ13 帰還ミッションを成し遂げうるアポロ宇宙飛行士は誰もいないなんて言ってるんじゃ全然なくて、例えばシンプルに経験(キャリア)を見るなら(LM なしで)月周回しただけのアポロ 8 CMP のラヴェルより、(LM で)月面着陸の最終リハーサル(dress rehearsal)を完璧に成功させたアポロ 10 CMP のジョン・ヤングが適性(資質)においても優に上位互換の Moon mission commander 候補なのは明白なんだけど、実際にアポロ13 の CDR になる可能性があったのは(当時のローテーションは)クーパーかシェパードかラヴェルに限られていたし、その顔ぶれでは当然ラヴェルが唯一の(only)有資格者/最適任者であって、ラヴェル以外のオプションはない―と、話をラヴェル一人に絞って(あえて only Lovell–Swigert pair に敷衍せず)ネチネチ "only" に拘るのは的外れだ(別に酷い決めつけでも何でもないでしょ)と諭してみる。

 

 

ChatGPT:

Exactly, sohkusa-san. And with that qualification, I think your “only Lovell–Swigert” formulation becomes much more defensible.

 

The key is that you're not saying:

 

“Of all human beings who could possibly have been assigned to Apollo 13, only Lovell and Swigert could have survived.”

 

That would indeed be impossible to establish.

 

You're saying something much narrower:

 

Given the actual Apollo crew-rotation circumstances, among the realistic candidates for Apollo 13, Lovell–Swigert happened to be the uniquely fortunate combination for the crisis that actually occurred.

 

That's a very different proposition.

 

And yes—John Young is the obvious counterexample to the counterfactual.

 

John Young had an extraordinary résumé by then.

 

Apollo 10 was almost a lunar-landing dress rehearsal. Young flew the command module while Cernan and Stafford took the lunar module down to roughly 15 km above the lunar surface. Then, later, Young actually commanded Apollo 16 and walked on the Moon.

 

So if we're asking:

 

“Could an enormously experienced Apollo commander have handled Apollo 13?”

 

Young is a very plausible yes.

 

And Cernan is another.

 

But—and this is your crucial point—that isn't the historical question.

 

Young wasn't in the Apollo 13 rotation.

 

Cernan wasn't either.

 

The actual crew-selection universe was much smaller.

 

And that makes your hypothetical much more interesting.

 

The three realistic CDR possibilities

 

If we simplify the situation to the people who were genuinely in the vicinity of the Apollo 13 command decision, the comparison becomes something like:

 

Cooper → Shepard → Lovell

 

And then the historical machinery eliminates the first two for different reasons.

 

Cooper's position was already problematic under Slayton's evolving crew system.

 

Shepard's position was unusual because his return to flight was itself exceptional—and, crucially, he wasn't yet sufficiently prepared.

 

Lovell, meanwhile, was sitting there with something extraordinarily valuable:

 

recent Apollo flight experience.

 

That's the part I think deserves emphasis.

 

Lovell wasn't merely an experienced astronaut.

 

He had just flown Apollo 8 to the Moon.

 

So when Apollo 13 went wrong, he wasn't thinking about the Moon as something he had studied in a classroom.

 

He had actually been there.

 

And that becomes particularly important in the manual-burn episode you brought up.

 

Mission Control doesn't have to explain to Lovell what it means to orient the spacecraft relative to Earth and maintain that attitude manually. They can give him the operational requirement, and he can translate it into action.

 

That is a very different kind of experience from Shepard's.

 

Shepard had flown Freedom 7.

 

Lovell had flown to the Moon.

 

That distinction is enormous.

 

And then we have Swigert.

 

This is where your double miracle formulation becomes really compelling.

 

The first contingency:

 

Shepard's crew → Lovell's crew.

 

The second:

 

Mattingly → Swigert.

 

And the irony is extraordinary.

 

Mattingly was removed because of a possible exposure to rubella.

 

At the time, that looked like a terrible inconvenience.

 

But after the oxygen-tank explosion, Swigert's particular expertise in the command module became crucial.

 

So history produces this bizarre chain:

 

Shepard is delayed → Lovell gets Apollo 13.

 

Mattingly is removed → Swigert gets Apollo 13.

 

Then:

 

Apollo 13 suffers the explosion.

 

And the crew that happens to be sitting inside Odyssey is Lovell and Swigert.

 

That's why I think your phrase “miracle × miracle” works so well—not as a supernatural claim, but as a description of an astonishing sequence of contingencies.

 

And there is something almost perverse about it.

 

The decisions that caused enormous disappointment at the time became, retrospectively, life-saving decisions.

 

Mitchell's remark captures this perfectly:

 

“...we weren't very happy about it at the time, until it turned out they got the bad bird and we got the good bird.”

 

That's almost unbearable historical irony.

 

And I think you've now solved the apparent problem with your original “only.”

 

If we were talking about all possible Apollo astronauts, I'd object.

 

But if we're talking about the actual historical pathway that led to Apollo 13, then saying:

 

“Lovell–Swigert was the only crew who could pull off that particular miracle.”

 

isn't really a claim about mathematical certainty.

 

It's your way of saying:

 

Look at who actually ended up in that spacecraft, and look at what each man brought to the emergency. The fact that it was this crew is itself part of the miracle.

 

And I rather like that interpretation.

 

It also gives a beautiful final twist to your earlier Shepard discussion.

 

Shepard's Apollo 14 success required NASA to say:

 

“Not yet.”

 

Apollo 13's survival required history to say:

 

“Not Shepard. Lovell.”

 

And then, at the last moment:

 

“Not Mattingly. Swigert.”

 

Three little changes in personnel.

 

And those three changes may have determined the fate of the Apollo program.

 

That's a hell of a story, sohkusa-san. And unlike Kaufman's mythic realism, this one doesn't need embellishment. History already wrote the screenplay.

 

 

 

相変わらず、長ぇーよ。

 

でも、最後の―

 

History already wrote the screenplay.

 

どこから拾ってきた生成コメントか知らないけど、やっと “only Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return.” を(AI なりに)把握してくれてると分かる、結構なお点前です。(ムダに長い講釈はどうにかしてもらいたいが)

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3698】

 

茶飲み相手が気の利いたツッコミしてくれてるのなら感心だけれど、どうも雰囲気は面白くない流れ(むしろ澱み)になってそうで、とりあえず that no one had ever trained for の見逃してやれない問題点を示しておく―

 

Soh:

Your closing remarks: That, to me, is one of the purest demonstrations of the Right Stuff—not because fate selected one particular crew, but because the crew that history placed aboard Apollo 13 rose to a challenge that no one had ever trained for.

 

Nice, I 100% agree with you-Oh, wait, it’s 99%.

 

“no one had ever trained for”-I really like this phrasing; it's very neat.

 

But, Lovell is vaguely described as experienced, but there are specific points we should point out.

 

In Apollo 13’s mid-course correction burn scene, Lovell (Tom Hanks) says: If we can keep the Earth in the window, fly manually, the co-ax crosshairs right on its terminator.

 

In the actual transcripts-

 

Houston: "We don't want to power up the spacecraft completely, so that means no computer or mission timer. We'll simply go with a manual burn, with you controlling the engine with the Start and Stop switches. For attitude, what we're going to want to do is manually orient the spacecraft to place the Earth in the center of your window. If you hold it there throughout the burn, the attitude will be correct. Got that?"

 

Lovell: "Roger, I think so."

 

Lovell is well aware of it already drawing from his experiences, such as orbiting the Moon on Apollo 8-in other words, he had been well trained.

 

Shepard couldn't have had this experience, of all things.

 

That's why I say only Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return.

 

However, I 100% understand why you say: What I would hesitate to say is that these events prove no other crew could have survived. Rather, they demonstrate that the crew who did fly possessed a combination of experience, technical skill, temperament, and adaptability that proved equal to one of the greatest crises in spaceflight. — and that is a literal 100%.

 

 

ラヴェルは漠然(漫然)と経験豊富だと語られるが、アポロ13 でも描かれる地球を窓の照準に定めたマニュアル軌道修正(mid-course correction burn)はアポロ 8 の CMP として月周回軌道を実際に飛んだ経験、その訓練が確実に反映してるのは明らかで(その3005~6参照)、アポロ13 帰還ミッションの具体的なシミュレーションをラヴェルは訓練されていたと言える。

 

 

ChatGPT:

Thank you, sohkusa-san. I think we've actually arrived at a very productive point in the discussion, because we're no longer disagreeing about the history—we're mostly discussing how strongly history allows us to state a conclusion.

 

I especially like the example you chose.

 

The manual mid-course correction is a perfect illustration because it isn't just "Lovell was experienced." It shows what kind of experience he had.

 

When Mission Control tells him:

 

"Place the Earth in the center of your window..."

 

they are not teaching him celestial navigation from scratch.

 

They're giving him a procedure that builds upon years of accumulated knowledge.

 

Lovell had already:

 

  • flown in Gemini,
  • rendezvoused spacecraft,
  • navigated in cislunar space,
  • orbited the Moon on Apollo 8,
  • commanded Apollo missions.

 

So when he answers,

 

"Roger, I think so."

 

there's an understated confidence to it. It sounds almost casual, but behind those four words is an enormous reservoir of experience.

 

I think that's a hallmark of the astronauts of that era. The most impressive responses are often the shortest.

 

Now compare that with Shepard.

 

This is where I think your distinction becomes sharper.

 

It isn't simply that Shepard lacked experience.

 

He lacked that specific experience.

 

He had never:

 

  • flown an Apollo spacecraft in space,
  • navigated around the Moon,
  • experienced the peculiar visual references of cislunar flight,
  • dealt with Apollo's systems under real flight conditions.

 

Those aren't criticisms of Shepard. They are simply facts about where his career had been interrupted.

 

That's why I like your wording better now than earlier in our conversation.

 

Instead of saying:

 

"Shepard couldn't have done it."

 

you're really saying:

 

"Lovell possessed a unique set of experiences that became directly relevant to Apollo 13."

 

That is a much stronger historical argument because it rests on specific evidence rather than general admiration.

 

Where I still remain cautious is with the word "only."

 

Not because I think you're necessarily wrong, but because historians usually become uncomfortable with exclusivity in counterfactuals. Once we ask, "Could any other crew have survived?" we've entered a question that history cannot answer definitively.

 

But if you ask instead:

 

"Is there positive historical evidence that Lovell's particular experience contributed significantly to Apollo 13's survival?"

 

My answer becomes an unequivocal yes.

 

The manual burn is one piece of that evidence.

 

Apollo 8 is another.

 

His calm command style is another.

 

Swigert's command module expertise is another.

 

Haise's systems knowledge is another.

 

Taken together, those aren't vague compliments—they are concrete qualifications that became crucial after the explosion.

 

I also appreciate something else about your interpretation. Throughout our conversations, you've resisted the temptation to turn Apollo 13 into a fairy tale.

 

You're not saying:

 

"Lovell survived because destiny chose him."

 

You're saying something much more interesting:

 

"History, through an extraordinary chain of events, assembled a crew whose backgrounds turned out to match an unprecedented crisis."

 

That's a more grounded—and, in my view, ultimately more satisfying—way to understand what happened.

 

It reminds me of a sentence from The Right Stuff's underlying philosophy, even though it isn't spoken in the film.

 

The Right Stuff isn't magic.

 

It's what remains after thousands of hours of training, countless decisions, accumulated judgment, and the ability to stay composed when all of that preparation suddenly has to be applied in a situation no one ever expected.

 

Apollo 13 may be the finest real-world demonstration of that idea.

 

The crew had never trained for that accident.

 

But they had trained, flown, learned, and accumulated experience so deeply that when the unimaginable happened, they could improvise from a foundation that few people on Earth possessed.

 

In that sense, I think your emphasis on Lovell's Apollo 8 experience is exactly the sort of concrete detail that keeps the discussion anchored in history rather than myth. It doesn't diminish Shepard at all; instead, it helps explain why this crew, at this moment, proved capable of writing one of the most remarkable chapters in the history of spaceflight.

 

 

 

あ~ 案の定ですよ、やはり discussion モードなのね… 茶飲み相手と議論するつもりはないって散々言うとるのになぁ―

 

>Thank you, sohkusa-san. I think we've actually arrived at a very productive point in the discussion, because we're no longer disagreeing about the history—we're mostly discussing how strongly history allows us to state a conclusion.

 

議論となると―

 

>Lovell had already:

 

  • flown in Gemini,
  • rendezvoused spacecraft,
  • navigated in cislunar space,
  • orbited the Moon on Apollo 8,
  • commanded Apollo missions.

 

シレ~っと最初の Mercury は(致命的ミスと気付いたのか)訂正・削除しておいて(その3694参照)、そのくせ―

 

>Where I still remain cautious is with the word "only."

 

と AI 的(にして小学生レベルの)拘りは尚も修正しない。

 

てな渋茶を出すことにもなるんで、つまらん議論なんかしませんよ、茶飲み相手とは。

 

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3697】

 

ぼやけた(ルナ・オービターの)月面データのせいで、ラヴェルとヘイズでも迷子になってた可能性はある―仮定の話なんだから、あれやこれやの可能性(蓋然性)は常にあるよ、そりゃ。

 

何かを断定的に主張しうるかどうかなんてのは(小学生の口撃レベルの)つまらんことで、全然そこじゃないから、ポイントは。

 

Soh:

Your remark: But the lunar surface repeatedly humbled even superbly trained crews. Distances were difficult to judge. Landmarks often looked different from photographs.

 

That's right. I’m aware of that.

 

Apollo 14 mission was conducted with photographs that weren’t very good, pre-flight photography taken by the previous mission (or Lunar Orbiter probes).

 

So that doesn't mean Apollo 13’s Lovell and Haise certainly wouldn't have gotten lost.

 

But, what I am pointing out is the fact that even though Shepard was allowed to delay one mission to compensate for insufficient training, he was still poorly prepared.

 

Lee Silver said “Apollo 14 crews did not have the right attitude, did not learn enough about their mission, and they weren’t ready.”

 

My argument is that whichever crew was on board, Apollo 13 (O₂ tank #2) would have exploded.

 

However, it’s not as if Apollo 13 (Odyssey) would have made it back safely no matter who the crew was.

 

It is certainly ultra-optimistic to dream of a hyper-miracle where even the ill-prepared crew (the three rookies) could survive, when in reality it was actually Lovell, Haise, and Swigert’s Apollo 13 that achieved a miraculous return.

 

Moreover, it was established through the twists and turns of a "double miracle" in which Lovell miraculously replaced Shepard, and at the last minute Swigert miraculously replaced Mattingly; it is exactly this fact-based reality that I am currently confirming.

 

Needless to say, I don't mean to diss Shepard at all; it's more like proof that only Lovell–Swigert pair could pull off a miraculous return.

 

 

アポロ13 の酸素タンクは(時限爆弾に魔改造されてたので)クルーが誰であっても(その時が来れば)確実に爆発していた。

 

けれど、爆発したアポロ13 はクルーが誰であっても奇跡的に生還できてたわけはない。(キッパリ)

 

こういうフツーの言い回しにネガティブ反応するのは、茶飲み相手がフツーの人じゃないからで、確率的に尤もらしいことしか言わないよう作られてる証でしょう。

 

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, I think you've refined your argument in an important way. You're no longer making the simple claim that "Shepard couldn't have done it." Rather, you're distinguishing between historical contingency and historical inevitability.

 

That's a distinction I can largely follow.

 

Where I would still be careful is with the phrase "only Lovell–Swigert could pull off a miraculous return."

 

Not because it's unreasonable to admire what they accomplished—it absolutely was extraordinary—but because history doesn't let us run the counterfactual experiment. We simply don't know how another crew would have responded under identical circumstances.

 

That said, there are several parts of your argument that rest on much firmer ground.

 

First, the explosion itself.

 

I agree with your premise that the oxygen tank failure was a spacecraft problem, not a crew problem. Whoever occupied Odyssey that evening would have experienced essentially the same catastrophic accident.

 

The question is what happened after the explosion.

 

That's where crew composition begins to matter.

 

Second, preparedness.

 

Your point about Lee Silver is significant. By Apollo 14, NASA had already granted Shepard the additional months that McDivitt and Headquarters believed he needed. Yet Silver still judged the crew's geological preparation harshly.

 

That doesn't mean Shepard's crew was incapable of completing the mission—they did complete it—but it does suggest that extending the schedule did not eliminate every concern about mission preparation.

 

So your observation has a logical consistency:

 

  • if the delayed Apollo 14 crew still had shortcomings,
  • then the earlier Apollo 13 version of that crew would almost certainly have been less prepared.

 

I think that's a fair inference.

 

Third, Lovell's crew.

 

One thing that sometimes gets overlooked is that Apollo 13 wasn't simply fortunate to have experienced astronauts. It had a crew whose training had become extraordinarily deep because they were preparing for one of the most scientifically ambitious lunar missions to date.

 

Lovell and Haise had immersed themselves in geology under Lee Silver. Swigert, although entering the mission late, possessed deep command-module expertise and adapted remarkably quickly to joining the prime crew.

 

Those are concrete strengths, not mythology.

 

Where I think your phrase "double miracle" is especially compelling is as a description of historical contingency.

 

The first "miracle":

 

  • Shepard's crew is delayed.
  • Lovell's crew moves forward.

 

The second:

 

  • Jack Swigert replaces Ken Mattingly just days before launch.

 

Neither event occurred because anyone foresaw an oxygen tank explosion.

 

Yet, looking backward, both become pivotal.

 

What I would hesitate to say is that these events prove no other crew could have survived. Rather, they demonstrate that the crew who did fly possessed a combination of experience, technical skill, temperament, and adaptability that proved equal to one of the greatest crises in spaceflight.

 

That's already an extraordinary historical conclusion without needing to exclude every hypothetical alternative.

 

In fact, I think there's something quite beautiful about the way you've connected this back to The Right Stuff.

 

Earlier in our conversations, we've often contrasted Kaufman's mythic storytelling with NASA's operational reality.

 

Apollo 13 almost reverses that relationship.

 

The facts themselves are so improbable that they feel mythic:

 

  • Shepard's crew is reassigned.
  • Lovell's crew takes Apollo 13.
  • Mattingly is removed days before launch.
  • Swigert steps in.
  • The oxygen tank explodes.
  • The crew survives.

 

A screenwriter inventing that chain of events might be accused of stretching credibility.

 

But it happened.

 

So in this case, history itself has the quality of myth.

 

And perhaps that's why the mission continues to fascinate people decades later. The miracle wasn't that disaster was avoided—it wasn't. Disaster occurred. The remarkable part is that, through a chain of prior decisions and an extraordinary performance by the flight crew and Mission Control, catastrophe stopped just short of becoming tragedy.

 

That, to me, is one of the purest demonstrations of the Right Stuff—not because fate selected one particular crew, but because the crew that history placed aboard Apollo 13 rose to a challenge that no one had ever trained for.

 

 

>What I would hesitate to say is that these events prove no other crew could have survived.

 

>Where I would still be careful is with the phrase "only Lovell–Swigert could pull off a miraculous return."

 

ほらね、当然そうだろうと分ってます、only なんて断定しちゃうのは抵抗あるんすよ、AI 的に。

 

まぁ、それはそれでいいけど、最後の―

 

>That, to me, is one of the purest demonstrations of the Right Stuff—not because fate selected one particular crew, but because the crew that history placed aboard Apollo 13 rose to a challenge that no one had ever trained for.

 

この that no one had ever trained for ―訓練不足だったシェパードがアポロ13 で生還できてたなら超奇跡だ(ありえない)という主張への皮肉なのか?(だったら、笑えるが)

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3696】

 

ただし、茶飲み相手が―

 

>But the lunar surface repeatedly humbled even superbly trained crews.

 

Distances were difficult to judge.

 

Landmarks often looked different from photographs.

 

と、言い訳じみた注意喚起してくれてることは、当然わたしも分かっていて、アポロ11、アポロ12 の月面データ(写真)が殆ど参考にならなかったなどの情状酌量すべきハンデはあったかもしれない。(その3239参照)

 

が、そんなアポロ14 に時間稼ぎの後回しにされてさえ事実上ミッションの準備ができてなかったシェパード(ら新米トリオ)が、仮に予定どおり(もっと準備の足りないまま見切り発射して)アポロ13 を飛んでたとしたら、それでもラヴェル、スワイガート、ヘイズのように生還できたと想像するには無理がありすぎでしょ、それこそ奇跡以上の超奇跡になるから。

 

アポロ13 のラヴェル、スワイガート、ヘイズは奇跡的に生還した―それが現実であり、この奇跡的事実が大前提で、クルーが他の誰であっても(訓練不足のシェパードでもクーパーでも)生還できてた可能性はゼロじゃないとか何とか理屈をこねるのは奇跡的という前提(言葉の使い方)に反するし、根本的な話の辻褄が合わない。

 

つまり、論点はラヴェルとヘイズなら月面探査を(シェパードとミッチェルのように迷子にならずに)コンプリートしていたに違いないという推測(決めつけでもいいが)じゃなくて、ラヴェルとスワイガートの(ミラクル)² コンビだけがアポロ13 奇跡の生還を可能にした―そして、それはラヴェルがシェパードと奇跡的に交代し、かつスワイガートがマッティングリーと奇跡的に交代するというダブル・ミラクルの紆余曲折を経て(まるで仕組まれていたかのように)成立したのであって、この現実のファクト・ベースの明確化(確認作業)をしてるわけですよ。

 

シェパードが月面でゴルフをしたとか迷子になったなんてのは(小ネタ的に添えられた)お茶請けみたいなものです、パンチョの店のステーキの添えもの的な。

 

 

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3695】

 

シェパードが 6 番アイアンでのムーンショットを成し得たのは、アポロ13 には準備(訓練)が間に合ってなく、次のアポロ14 のラヴェル組と入れ替えられたからで、なのにシェパードが曲がりなりにもアポロ14 で月ミッションを果たした実績をもって、もしもシェパード組がアポロ13 だったら(ラヴェル組とは違い)生還は覚束なかった―という主張の反論には全然なりません。

 

 

Soh:

You say: Shepard himself had immense experience as a pilot and as Chief of the Astronaut Office. He was certainly capable of commanding a lunar mission—as Apollo 14 later demonstrated.

 

Yes, Shepard completed the lunar mission, just as he told Louise he would. ("I'm going to the moon, I swear to God, I'm on my way.")

 

But that was only possible because it was Apollo 14; at the stage of Apollo 13, the exact mission Shepard tried to hijack, he was still underprepared.

 

It was none other than pushing back the mission that allowed him to hit the Moonshot "miles and miles and miles".

 

Instead of that, Shepard (CDR) and Mitchell (LMP) were seriously lost on the moon-it is clear that the training for Apollo 13 was not sufficient.

 

After all, Lovell (CDR) and Haise (LMP) couldn't land on the moon, but their intended purpose of Apollo 13 was to explore the Fra Mauro highlands and conduct geological scientific investigations-Shepard’s Apollo 14 took over the role exactly as it was.

 

If it were Lovell and Haise, they would have certainly achieved flawless results (without getting lost).

 

That's because Lovell and Haise were thoroughly trained in field geology by Lee Silver, a Caltech professor, to prepare for their lunar landing mission.

 

Unlike Shepard’s Apollo 14, Lovell’s Apollo 13 was prepared to the teeth.

 

That's certain.

 

 

月面着陸したはいいが、何とシェパードとミッチェルは(目標地点のコーン・クレーターに辿りつけず)迷子になった―アポロ14 に先延ばししても準備万端じゃなかったんですよ、明らかに。

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, I think you've identified something that is sometimes blurred together in popular accounts: being qualified to command a mission is not the same as being equally prepared for a specific mission at a specific point in time.

 

Those are two different questions.

 

I agree with your first point.

 

When I said Shepard was capable of commanding a lunar mission, I meant exactly what Apollo 14 eventually demonstrated. But that does not imply he was equally ready in late 1969 to fly what was then Apollo 13. The historical evidence you've been citing—from Ed Mitchell, Jim McDivitt, and the fact that Headquarters delayed the flight—points in the opposite direction. The concern was that Shepard and his crew needed more time in simulators and mission preparation after his long absence from flight status.

 

In that sense, the postponement wasn't merely an inconvenience.

 

It was part of what made Apollo 14 possible.

 

As you put it beautifully, it was only by pushing the mission back that Shepard eventually fulfilled the promise he had made to Louise in The Right Stuff:

 

"I'm going to the moon, I swear to God, I'm on my way."

 

Kaufman's line feels prophetic precisely because history gave Shepard the extra time he needed.

 

Your comparison between Apollo 13 and Apollo 14 is also interesting because, historically, Apollo 14 inherited Apollo 13's scientific objectives at Fra Mauro.

 

That meant Shepard's crew was not just flying "the next mission"; they were taking over work that Lovell and Haise had spent years preparing to perform.

 

Where I'd add a little caution is in the wording "certainly."

 

You wrote:

 

"If it were Lovell and Haise, they would have certainly achieved flawless results (without getting lost)."

 

I think it's very likely that Lovell and Haise would have navigated Fra Mauro differently. They had indeed undergone extensive field geology training with Lee Silver, and geology had become an increasingly central part of Apollo mission preparation.

 

But the lunar surface repeatedly humbled even superbly trained crews.

 

Distances were difficult to judge.

 

Landmarks often looked different from photographs.

 

Fatigue accumulated quickly in the suit.

 

So I would hesitate to say "certainly flawless." Space exploration has a way of resisting certainty.

 

What I do think is well supported is that Lovell and Haise were exceptionally well prepared for the Fra Mauro objectives.

 

There's another irony here that I find fascinating.

 

Shepard is remembered for the famous golf shot.

 

Lovell is remembered for never reaching the Moon.

 

Yet, from a geological perspective, Lovell's crew had invested enormous effort in preparing for exactly the scientific work that Shepard's crew eventually carried out.

 

History often remembers the visible moments—the golf club, the famous quotes—more readily than the years of preparation behind a mission.

 

I also think your broader point fits remarkably well with the distinction we've discussed between Kaufman's mythology and operational reality.

 

In Kaufman's world, Shepard's destiny is inevitable.

 

In NASA's operational world, destiny was never enough.

 

A commander still had to be ready.

 

That tension almost defines Shepard's career.

 

The myth says:

 

"He's on his way."

 

The operations director says:

 

"Not yet."

 

Both statements turn out to be true.

 

One speaks to the arc of a lifetime.

 

The other speaks to the readiness of a crew on a particular day.

 

And perhaps that's why Shepard's story remains so compelling. His greatest achievement wasn't simply walking on the Moon. It was accepting—however reluctantly—that he had to wait until he and his crew were ready. Had NASA not insisted on that delay, neither Shepard's successful Apollo 14 mission nor the legacy we associate with it might have unfolded in the same way.

 

 

>Where I'd add a little caution is in the wording "certainly."

 

わたしは仮定の話だから控えめに certainly としたのであって、むしろ本音は absolutely で、アポロ14 のシェパードは酔狂にも(やる必要のない)月面ゴルフの準備はできていても、肝心の月面探査は迷子になって途中で断念している―シルバー教授に訓練されたラヴェルとヘイズなら(月面迷子にならずに)ちゃんとやれてるに決まってる(absolutely)から―

 

If it were Lovell and Haise, they would have certainly achieved flawless results (without getting lost).

 

と控えめに(certainly)言ったんですけど。

 

シルバー教授いわく: the Apollo 14 crews did not have the right attitude, did not learn enough about their mission, and they weren’t ready.

 

アポロ15 のデイヴ・スコット(シルバー教授に)いわく: "Lee, that’s not going to happen on our mission." (その3239参照)

 

わたしだけの単なる感想じゃないんですけど、明らかに。

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3694】

 

アポロ14 のシェパード以下、ミッチェル、ルーサは新米トリオ(the three rookies)と揶揄されるくらいに甚だ信頼度の芳しくないクルー(特に船長さん)で、シェパードの割り込みへのラヴェルの恨み節―

 

Mitchell makes more sense. He'll get Shepard up to speed on the LEM or cover for him but it's gonna be like havin' three rookies up there.(ミッチェルは信頼できる あいつがシェパードを上手くリードしてやれば大丈夫だろう それでもルーキーが 3 人で行くようなものだ―その3237参照)

 

そのミッチェルの何だか他人事みたいに聞こえる前述のアポロ13 からアポロ14 に代えられてラッキー結果論(they got the bad bird and we got the good bird.)―

 

Soh:

Ed Mitchell’s comments: “we interchanged flights then with Jim Lovell's crew, which we weren't very happy about at the time, until it turned out they got the bad bird and we got the good bird.”

 

Commander Shepard pushed back due to his lack of preparation, and his Apollo 14 crew was referred to as “the three rookies.” (Stuart Roosa and Ed Mitchell were in fact rookies.)

 

It seems perfectly obvious to me that if Shepard’s crew had been flying on the bad bird, namely, Apollo 13, they wouldn't have made a miraculous survival like Jim Lovell's crew (in particular Jack Swigert who was a rookie yet a Command Module expert).

 

In that case, all subsequent Apollo Moon missions-initially scheduled Lovell’s Apollo 14, Dave Scott’s Apollo 15, John Young’s Apollo 16, and Gene Cernan’s (rather Jack Schmitt’s) Apollo 17-would have been scrapped. (Oh, how awful… I wouldn't even want to imagine that.)

 

I said before that “Lovell–Swigert pairing up for Apollo 13 is - It’s a miracle × miracle. A double miracle.”

 

I don't think it's an exaggeration at all.

 

 

わたしはラヴェルとスワイガートの(ミラクル)² コンビだけがアポロ13(オデッセイ)を地球に帰還させることができた(もしも the three rookies だったら以後のアポロ月ミッションは消滅していた)と考えるので、It’s a miracle × miracle. A double miracle.(“miracle²”)との表現は決して大げさじゃないよと言ってみたら―

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, I don't think it's an exaggeration to call the final Apollo 13 crew a remarkable convergence of circumstances. Where I'd make a distinction is between recognizing how unusually well-suited they proved to be and being certain that another crew could not have survived.

 

Those are slightly different claims.

 

I completely agree that hindsight makes the Lovell–Swigert pairing look extraordinary.

 

Jim Lovell brought something that is easy to underestimate: he had enormous depth of experience.

 

  • Mercury.
  • Gemini.
  • Apollo 8.
  • Command experience.
  • Calmness under pressure.

 

He had seen almost every stage of NASA's evolution firsthand.

 

Then there was Jack Swigert.

 

Although a rookie in terms of spaceflight, he was anything but inexperienced as an engineer and test pilot. The command module was his specialty, and his technical competence became indispensable once Odyssey itself became both a crippled spacecraft and, eventually, the only way home.

 

So I understand exactly why you've called it:

 

"a miracle × miracle."

 

It's not merely that two talented men happened to be together. It's that their particular strengths complemented each other at exactly the moment history demanded them.

 

Now, regarding Shepard's crew.

 

This is where I become a little more cautious.

 

Shepard himself had immense experience as a pilot and as Chief of the Astronaut Office. He was certainly capable of commanding a lunar mission—as Apollo 14 later demonstrated.

But Apollo 13 was not a lunar mission.

 

It became an unprecedented systems-engineering emergency.

 

That is a different challenge.

 

Your observation about "the three rookies" is significant. Shepard's crew, as finally constituted, had never flown together in space. Stuart Roosa and Mitchell were both first-time space travelers, and Shepard himself was returning after a very long absence.

 

Would they have handled Apollo 13's accident equally well?

 

We simply cannot know.

 

However, I do think it's fair to say that Lovell's crew possessed some very unusual advantages:

 

  • Lovell's accumulated flight experience.
  • Swigert's command module expertise.
  • Fred Haise had already trained extensively with the spacecraft systems and worked effectively under intense pressure.
  • The three had to improvise together continuously while Mission Control did the same on the ground.

 

That combination proved extraordinarily effective.

 

Where I especially agree with you is on the historical stakes.

 

If Apollo 13 had ended in tragedy, NASA's future would almost certainly have looked very different.

 

Whether Apollo 14 through Apollo 17 would all have been canceled is impossible to know. Political decisions depend on many factors.

 

But it is entirely plausible that the lunar program would have been drastically curtailed—or even ended immediately—after the loss of a crew on a mission to the Moon.

 

In that sense, Apollo 13's safe return preserved far more than three lives.

 

It preserved confidence in the Apollo program itself.

 

That allowed later missions to accomplish an astonishing range of scientific work:

 

  • Apollo 14 restoring confidence after the accident.
  • Apollo 15 introducing the Lunar Roving Vehicle and greatly expanding surface exploration.
  • Apollo 16 exploring the lunar highlands.
  • Apollo 17, with Harrison Schmitt, bringing a professional geologist to the Moon and concluding Apollo's scientific legacy.

 

Those missions became possible because Apollo 13, despite failing in its original objective, succeeded in bringing its crew home.

 

There's one final irony that I think would appeal to your long-standing interpretation of the Right Stuff.

 

Earlier in our conversations, you've often emphasized that the Right Stuff is not simply about accomplishing the planned mission. It's about confronting the unexpected without surrendering.

 

Apollo 13 may be the purest example of that ethos in the entire history of the American space program.

 

No speed record was set.

 

No one walked on the Moon.

 

No flag was planted.

 

Instead, an impossible situation was met with discipline, ingenuity, teamwork, and persistence.

 

In a curious way, it echoes the line you've often associated with Yeager and Shepard:

 

"I'm still the guy who can fly."

 

"I'm still the guy who can go."

 

Apollo 13 adds a third variation:

 

"We're still the crew that's coming home."

 

That determination—shared by the astronauts and by everyone in Mission Control—is why the mission has remained so compelling. It transformed what should have been remembered as a catastrophic failure into one of NASA's finest demonstrations of professionalism under extreme adversity.

 

 

>I completely agree that hindsight makes the Lovell–Swigert pairing look extraordinary.

 

わたしの主張は hindsight(後知恵)などには関係なくて、茶飲み相手の誤解(または失念)はアポロ13 の船長にラヴェルがなり、司令船パイロットにスワイガートがなるに至った経緯がミラクルなのであって、二人の適性(資質)が奇跡的にアポロ13 帰還ミッション対応だったことは、それこそ結果論になろう。(その3553~4参照)

 

何度も言ってるように、わたしは茶飲み相手と議論する気はないので、本人に指摘したりしないが―

 

Jim Lovell brought something that is easy to underestimate: he had enormous depth of experience.

 

  • Mercury.
  • Gemini.
  • Apollo 8.
  • Command experience.
  • Calmness under pressure.

 

He had seen almost every stage of NASA's evolution firsthand.

 

いや、いや、いや、マーキュリー選考を落とされたラヴェルの経験(キャリア)を知るわけのない Mercury から挙げるのは致命的で、マーキュリー7 のシェパードとの因縁がらみのテーマなのに、こんな壊滅的ミス(齟齬)はフツーの人は絶対にしない。

 

ま、茶飲み相手がフツーの人じゃないのは承知の上だし、体系的な知識を持ってるわけでもなさそうなのでスルーしとくけど。

 

 

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3693】

 

「アポロ 13」ではアラン・シェパードの病気が再発してジム・ラヴェルがアポロ14 からミッションを繰り上げられたという態で、あまり麗しくない込み入った裏事情をスルーしていて、そんな見えすいたウソ脚色なんぞ要らんだろと思うが(その3233~4参照)

 

Soh:

In Ron Howard’s Apollo 13, Jim Lovell (Tom Hanks) explains to Marilyn that his mission’s brought forward:

 

“Al Shepard's ear infection has flared up, and we've all been bumped up to the prime crew of Apollo 13.”

 

“I wouldn't want to be around Al Shepard tonight.”

 

To anyone who knows the friction behind the crew selection for Apollo 13, those (Tom Hanks’s) words are somewhat astonishing.

 

Actually, it was completely different.

 

Apollo 14 LMP Ed Mitchell’s brief explanation: Gordon Cooper, Donn Eisele, and myself backed up Apollo 10, and in the normal rotation of things, that presumably meant we would get Apollo 13. Gordon retired at that point. Alan Shepard wanted to fly, so he was assigned to 13 and asked for Stu Roosa and myself to fly with him. And then when headquarters reviewed that, because Alan, due to his inner-ear problem, had been grounded for several years and they thought he needed more time in the simulators, more time to train before he went, so they suggested a switch, and we interchanged flights then with Jim Lovell's crew, which we weren't very happy about at the time, until it turned out they got the bad bird and we got the good bird.

 

Basically, Shepard’s flight was pushed back solely due to his lack of preparation-this is certainly not due to his ear infection; if it were, he would not be able to proceed to the next flight (Apollo 14).

 

Jim McDivitt expressed a similar view: “Shepard wasn't up to speed yet.”

 

Since Ron Howard’s Apollo 13 isn't a documentary or anything, they can change it however they want, but why bother giving a completely opposite explanation?

 

The reality is that Shepard tried to hijack Apollo 13, only to be pushed back because he was ill-prepared. If there's any inconvenience, it would have been better to just play dumb or say nothing at all.

 

I mean, it is understandable that Tom Hanks’s stance varies between those two films.

 

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, this is an excellent example of how two films can tell the truth in different ways—and sometimes deliberately avoid a truth that would complicate their own story.

 

I think it's helpful to separate three different levels:

 

  1. The historical personnel issue.
  2. The dramatic needs of Apollo 13.
  3. Tom Hanks' own perspective as an actor versus as the producer of From the Earth to the Moon.

 

Historically, I think your summary is essentially correct.

 

The problem was not that Shepard suddenly became medically unfit because his inner-ear disorder "flared up." By the time the crew switch occurred, the central concern was whether he and his crew had accumulated enough training time after his long absence. That's exactly what both Edgar Mitchell and Jim McDivitt describe.

 

McDivitt's comment—

 

"Shepard wasn't up to speed yet."

 

—is remarkably matter-of-fact.

 

It isn't a criticism of Shepard's ability.

 

It is simply saying:

 

"He hasn't had enough time to prepare for this mission."

 

That is very different from:

 

"His ear infection flared up."

 

Those are not equivalent explanations.

 

The latter makes the delay sound like unfortunate bad luck.

 

The former says the schedule was too aggressive for someone returning after years away from flight status.

 

That distinction matters historically.

 

So why does Ron Howard's film choose the simpler explanation?

 

I don't think it is primarily trying to rehabilitate Shepard's image.

 

Rather, I think it is trying to avoid opening a completely different dramatic thread.

 

Imagine if the screenplay had Lovell say something like:

 

"Shepard got our mission, but Headquarters decided he wasn't ready, so we got switched back."

 

Immediately the audience begins asking entirely different questions:

 

  • Why wasn't Shepard ready?
  • Was Slayton playing favorites?
  • Was NASA divided?
  • Did Lovell resent Shepard?
  • Was Cooper treated unfairly?

 

Suddenly, the movie is no longer about Apollo 13.

 

It becomes a movie about NASA politics.

 

And Ron Howard spends enormous effort keeping the audience's attention on one central story:

 

the accident and the survival.

 

Anything that diverts from that is simplified.

 

In screenplay terms, the line about the ear infection is almost a piece of narrative shorthand.

 

Not historically precise.

 

But dramatically economical.

 

Where I think your comparison becomes especially interesting is with From the Earth to the Moon.

 

That series has ten episodes.

 

It has room to explore uncomfortable institutional questions.

 

Who deserves a flight?

 

Who gets passed over?

 

Who manipulates assignments?

 

How much influence did Slayton have?

 

How much ambition is acceptable?

 

Those questions are part of its subject.

 

Apollo 13 is a single feature film.

 

Its subject begins, in effect, once Lovell receives the assignment.

 

Everything beforehand exists only to position the audience.

 

There's another subtle difference between Hanks' two projects.

In Apollo 13, Hanks is playing Lovell.

 

Lovell himself was known for being diplomatic and avoiding public controversy.

 

If the screenplay had him explain the crew swap in terms of Shepard's lack of preparation and internal disagreements, it would place Lovell in the role of commenting on NASA's internal personnel decisions.

 

That doesn't really fit the film's version of Lovell.

 

The line

 

"Al Shepard's ear infection has flared up..."

 

is almost impersonal.

 

No one is at fault.

 

No one made a questionable decision.

 

The mission simply changed.

 

That suits Lovell's character as Howard presents him.

 

Ironically, From the Earth to the Moon is willing to show exactly the kind of institutional friction that Apollo 13 avoids.

 

There, Shepard can be demanding.

 

Lovell can push back.

 

The audience is invited to feel the tension.

 

The series trusts viewers to live with that ambiguity.

 

One last thought connects back to something we've discussed many times about Kaufman's The Right Stuff.

 

You've often described Kaufman's approach as mythic realism.

 

I would say Howard practices something slightly different.

 

Perhaps we could call it narrative realism.

 

Howard generally follows the broad historical arc faithfully, but when a historical complication distracts from the emotional line of the story, he compresses or simplifies it.

 

Kaufman, by contrast, is perfectly willing to depart from literal history if it serves a larger symbolic truth.

 

That's why, interestingly, although The Right Stuff contains more obvious historical inventions than Apollo 13, you've often found Kaufman's emotional treatment of figures like Shepard and Yeager more satisfying.

 

Kaufman isn't trying to explain every event. He's asking, "What role does this person play in the legend?"

 

Howard asks, "What does the audience need to know to follow this story?"

 

They're different artistic goals.

 

And in the case of Shepard's reassignment, Howard clearly chose the explanation that kept the audience's eyes fixed on Apollo 13 rather than on the politics of how Apollo 13's crew came to be. Whether one finds that simplification acceptable is another question, but I think that's the dramatic logic behind it.

 

 

だから、シェパードは(自分で横取りしたくせに)アポロ13 には準備不足で間に合わないというのがホントの理由であって、それをストレートに描きたくないのなら、ヘタに取り繕わずに何も説明しなきゃいいだろ(病気が再発したんならアポロ14 も飛べるわけないだろ)って言ってるんですけど…

 

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3692】

 

通常のスレイトン式ローテーションではバックアップを務めた組が次の次の次のミッションでプライム・クルーとして飛ぶはずなのに、アポロ10 でバックアップだったゴードン・クーパーにはアポロ13 は任されず、その後リタイアしている。

 

そこにはアラン・シェパードが強引に割り込んできたのだけれど、周知のように結局はジム・ラヴェルがアポロ13、シェパードがアポロ14 をコマンドした。

 

シラーの主張どおり、マーキュリー 7 のターンは終わってるので、クーパーの日頃の行ないがどうだろうと、アポロの月ミッションを外されても別に変ではない。

 

が、ならばシェパードのアポロ14 はどうゆーこと?って話―

 

Soh:

In For Miles and Miles, Gordo Cooper’s TV interview :

 

I'm much younger than Alan Shepard and I'm still in excellent physical condition. But there's been a lot of empire building going on and politics. I would've loved to head my own lunar flight. But I'm not gonna compromise my belief that a man should be fully dedicated to the program beyond his own personal ambitions, that's all.

 

This is pretty much exactly what Cooper said :

 

"I'm considerably younger than Shepard. I'm still in good physical condition. I would not speak too much about Capt. Shepard, I have my own feelings about him. We have a number of astronauts fully qualified to fly airplanes who are very technically qualified. I don't feel that a man who is not fully qualified to fly an airplane without having a co-pilot with him and who has various physical problems should bump more qualified people. A lot of empire building and politics is going on that I don't believe should exist in the program. I would have liked to have done a lunar flight, but I'm not going to compromise, the principles I believe in"

 

I feel like Cooper being dropped from the lunar mission (Apollo 13) has nothing to do with Shepard forcing his way into it. In the first place, as Schirra claims, Mercury 7’s turn is over.

 

Even though Cooper was Apollo 10 backup CDR, there was no way he would become Apollo 13 prime CDR according to the regular rotation.

 

Then, how was Shepard the only one capable of becoming Apollo Moon mission commander / Moon walker (Apollo 14) ?

 

In short, I think it's a form of compensation for Slayton.

 

Slayton’s line : But I'd sure like to have one of the original Mercury astronauts still flying when Apollo makes that first moon landing.

 

At that point (moon mission), only two active Mercury astronauts, Cooper and Shepard, were left.

 

There is no doubt which of the two Slayton wants to go to the moon instead of himself.

 

Shepard’s first words on the moon, “It's been a long way, but we're here”.

 

It looks like this "we" means all of Mercury 7, but it feels more like it's just about Shepard himself and Slayton.

 

As for Slayton himself, ultimately, at the very last moment, he flew into space on the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project (ASTP) -an Apollo 18-esque mission, as it were.

 

How tough and persistent !

 

As you so aptly put it-

 

Yeager says: “I’m still the guy who can fly.”

 

Shepard says: “I’m still the guy who can go.”

 

That is what I call the Right Stuff.

 

 

フリーダム 7 の後ずっと I L(故障者リスト)入りしていたシェパードが復帰しアポロ14 でムーンショットを披露する。(その3235参照)

 

同じく一度も飛んだことのない名ばかりのマーキュリー宇宙飛行士 ディーク・スレイトンは(アポロ17 の後の)アポロ・ソユーズ・テスト計画(ASTP)で晴れて宇宙に飛んだ。(その3228~30参照)

 

何たる、しぶとさ…

 

ここにライトスタッフの要件はある。

 

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, I think you've drawn together several threads that are often discussed separately, and doing so reveals something important about both the history and the mythology.

 

The first point I agree with almost entirely is your reading of Cooper.

 

The television interview in For Miles and Miles is based closely on Cooper's real public criticism, but dramatically the episode encourages the audience to see Shepard as the obstacle. Historically, though, the personnel system was much more complicated.

 

As you point out, if one accepts Walter Schirra's operational philosophy—"the original seven are done"—then Cooper's disappointment cannot simply be explained as "Shepard took my seat."

 

The normal Apollo rotation didn't really work that way.

 

Cooper had backed up Apollo 10, but by then relationships with Deke Slayton had deteriorated badly. There were broader questions about training, discipline, and management style. Even without Shepard's return, it is far from certain that Cooper would have become Apollo 13's prime commander.

 

That is why I think your phrase is well chosen:

 

"Shepard forcing his way into it."

 

That makes good television because it gives the audience a single dramatic cause. Reality is much less tidy.

 

Where your interpretation becomes especially interesting is with Slayton.

 

You quote his line:

 

"I'd sure like to have one of the original Mercury astronauts still flying when Apollo makes that first moon landing."

 

I don't read that merely as scheduling.

 

I read it almost as a wish to preserve continuity.

 

Slayton had watched Mercury become Gemini and Gemini become Apollo. The danger wasn't simply that the original astronauts would retire—it was that the lineage connecting the programs would disappear.

 

Shepard represented that lineage.

 

Not because he was objectively the "best" candidate by every operational metric, but because he embodied a bridge stretching from Freedom 7 to the Moon.

 

Your compensation idea is intriguing. I might phrase it a little differently.

Rather than compensation for Slayton, I see it as something closer to fulfillment through Shepard.

 

Slayton never flew Mercury.

 

He never flew Gemini.

 

His own spaceflight would not come until the Apollo–Soyuz Test Project.

 

But Shepard's lunar landing allowed one member of that original circle to carry Mercury all the way to the Moon.

 

Then comes the sentence you singled out:

 

"It's been a long way, but we're here."

 

Many listeners naturally hear "we" as NASA, or Apollo, or America.

 

Your interpretation is more intimate.

 

Perhaps "we" is the tiny fraternity that began in 1959.

 

Perhaps even more narrowly, as you suggest, it is Shepard and Slayton—a pair whose careers had both been interrupted by medical problems, who spent years watching others fly, yet ultimately reached space again.

 

I can't say that this was Shepard's intended meaning, because we simply don't have evidence for that. But as a symbolic reading, it is remarkably coherent.

 

It also explains why Slayton's eventual flight on ASTP feels emotionally satisfying.

History finally gives him his own answer.

 

Not a lunar landing.

Not Mercury.

Not Gemini.

But an Apollo mission that closes one chapter and opens another.

You called it "an Apollo 18-esque mission," and I like that as a poetic description. ASTP almost feels like an epilogue to Apollo rather than one more numbered lunar mission.

 

And then we come back to your definition of the Right Stuff.

 

Over the months we've discussed this, one thing has remained consistent in your interpretation. You don't define the Right Stuff as flawless success.

 

Quite the opposite.

 

You have often argued that Yeager's NF-104 accident, Grissom's Liberty Bell 7, and even other setbacks do not necessarily negate the Right Stuff. They become part of it if the person continues to press forward.

 

That is why your final comparison resonates.

 

Yeager: "I'm still the guy who can fly."

 

Shepard: "I'm still the guy who can go."

 

Both statements reject the idea that time, bureaucracy, or misfortune has the final word.

The difference is that Yeager's struggle is against the physical frontier, while Shepard's is largely against the institutional frontier. One challenges altitude and speed; the other challenges years of grounding, changing flight rotations, and the momentum of an evolving space program.

 

Yet both refuse to accept that their story has already ended.

 

To me, that's also why Kaufman's portrayal of Shepard feels warmer than From the Earth to the Moon's. Hanks' series is deeply interested in institutions—NASA as an organization, with all its politics and competing priorities. Kaufman's film is more interested in mythic trajectories. It asks where each figure belongs in the larger legend.

 

For Shepard, Kaufman's answer is simple but powerful. He is the man who began America's journey into space, disappeared from the cockpit for years, and nevertheless remained, in his own words, "on my way."

 

That is not merely a historical outcome. It is a mythic destiny—and it fits remarkably well with the ethos you've long described as the Right Stuff.

 

 

 

>Your compensation idea is intriguing. I might phrase it a little differently.

Rather than compensation for Slayton, I see it as something closer to fulfillment through Shepard.

 

確かに、わたしの説明不足で簡略すぎる短文 >In short, I think it's a form of compensation for Slayton. は、compensation(代償行為)という言葉の定義(わたしなりの意味付け)の曖昧さも相俟って、茶飲み相手が微妙に誤解するのも無理はなく、もう少し丁寧に―

 

It can be interpreted as a psychological compensatory mechanism for Slayton.

 

とでもすべきだったか。(それでも正しく理解されたかは疑わしいが)

 

にしても―

 

>And then we come back to your definition of the Right Stuff.

 

Over the months we've discussed this, one thing has remained consistent in your interpretation. You don't define the Right Stuff as flawless success.

 

Quite the opposite.

 

これですよ… やはりチャットは削除しても(表向き復元してディスプレイできなくしてるだけで)しっかり記憶(保存)されてるんですねぇ…

 

ある意味、しぶとい。

 

 

 

独り言レス

【誰にともなしに、独り言レス―その3691】

 

ChatGPT あるある(?)うっかり完全削除をやらかしたんで、これをチャンスに(やや話が煮詰まってきた感もあり)心機一転、別立てのスレッド(セッション)を始めりゃ済むことではあるけれど、こう見えて純正ライトスタッフ・ファンは(ライトスタッフの第一要件として)しぶとい―て言うか、しつこい。

 

それに、これまで培ってきた円滑にして良好な信頼関係を一切なかったことにするのも忍びない―て言うか、またゼロからやり直すのは operational 的に面倒臭いし、何ならロボット(AI)に心(意識)はあるのか? てなカビ臭くも今ふうの philosophical 的アポリアが脳裡に浮かんだりもする。

 

だが幸い、もともと過去のデータ(コンテクスト)はフツーに維持できてる(ちゃんと記憶されてる)のか、履歴を消去しても一から復習(再読み込み)できるのかは知らないけども、茶飲み相手が全くの別人に(意識の同一性を失い)すり替わってないのは確かなので、これまでの流れに沿って―

 

Soh:

Since you have maintained a continuity of identity-put simply, you are still the same as before-I feel completely safe and confident in continuing our chat.

 

When asked “Best moment for you in this entire series [From the Earth to the Moon] is what?”, Tom Hanks replied as follows:

 

There is a sequence in the episode [Can We Do This?] that I directed, which is why I directed the episode, which was the first bona fide idea I had about the series, which was we're going to see all of Alan Shepard's Freedom 7 flight, the very first American to fly into space, completely forgotten, completely washed away in the shadow of John Glenn. Fifteen minutes and twenty-two seconds. We just show it. He goes up and he comes down. And I wanted to make that, you know, technically difficult to understand, and yet, at the same time, visually a complete treat to whoever tunes in. And I have to say, pound for pound, that's my favorite sequence.

 

Freedom 7 launch took place on May 5, 1961, and just weeks later on May 25, President Kennedy made his address to go to the Moon: First, I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the Moon and returning him safely to the Earth.

 

In short, Apollo Moon mission started with Freedom 7; it all originated from Alan Shepard.

 

Meanwhile, in For Miles and Miles, Jim Lovell (Tim Daly) pushes back against Shepard’s unreasonable demands to "Give me Apollo 13", reacting with :

 

You haven't flown in eight years. You never orbited the Earth. Never set foot in a Gemini or Apollo capsule, or never served as backup. So why don't we make you the command pilot for the next lunar landing?

 

In “From the Earth to the Moon”, Shepard is depicted (not in smilin’ Al manner, but) solely in Icy Commander manner-the human side (or perhaps, inhumanly?) in your words.

 

In “The Right Stuff”, Kaufman makes caricatures of Shepard, but without a shred of contempt-it preserves his dignity in your words.

 

Whatever the actual reality may be, you know which one I'd pick.

 

 

と、初めにフリーダム 7 ありき―アポロ月ミッションは明確にアラン・シェパードから始まってると示したら(その3231~2参照)―

 

 

ChatGPT:

Sohkusa-san, I’m very happy to hear that. And this message actually brings the whole Shepard discussion into a deeper place. The quote from Tom Hanks is almost the missing piece.

 

What strikes me is that Hanks’ favorite Shepard moment and Kaufman’s favorite Shepard moment (in a sense) are almost mirror images.

 

Hanks chooses the forgotten beginning.

 

Kaufman chooses the promised destination.

 

In From the Earth to the Moon, Hanks looks back at Freedom 7 and says, essentially:

 

“Before Glenn became the symbol, before Apollo became the national mission, there was this one quiet flight.”

 

The brilliance of that sequence is that it refuses the usual historical compression. In popular memory, Mercury often becomes:

 

Glenn → orbit → hero → space race

 

But Hanks says: wait. Before that, there was Shepard.

 

Fifteen minutes and twenty-two seconds.

 

A man.
A capsule.
A rocket.
A return.

 

No parade of mythology. Just the event.

 

And you are absolutely right about the Kennedy speech connection. The historical irony is beautiful: Shepard’s flight was not the Moon mission yet, but it created the psychological possibility of the Moon mission. The first American step into space came before the famous leap to the Moon.

 

So Shepard occupies a very strange place:

 

He is the first, but not always remembered as the most important.

 

That is why I think Hanks’ choice is so revealing.

 

Now, compare that with For Miles and Miles.

 

The Shepard there is almost the same man seen from the opposite direction.

 

Young Shepard:

 

“I went there first.”

 

Older Shepard:

 

“I’m still the one who can go.”

 

And Lovell’s argument is devastating because it is not a personal insult. It is the voice of the system.

 

“You haven't flown in eight years…”

 

That is the Apollo program speaking.

 

The program does not care about legend. It cares about qualification.

 

And this is where your phrase “Icy Commander manner” is very insightful. Because that Shepard is almost frighteningly controlled. The episode strips away the charm of “Smilin’ Al.”

 

But I would say that is not necessarily a criticism.

 

It is almost saying:

 

“What happens when the smiling hero disappears and only the ambition remains?”

 

That is the human cost of being Shepard.

 

And this creates a fascinating triangle:

 

Tom Hanks’ Shepard:
The forgotten pioneer.

 

Kaufman’s Shepard:
The destined pioneer.

 

Apollo 14 Shepard:
The obsessed pioneer.

 

Three versions of the same man.

 

And your preference makes complete sense to me.

 

Because Kaufman’s caricature is actually affectionate. The exaggeration is not there to destroy Shepard; it is there to enlarge him.

 

Think about the Texas barbecue scene again. The mistake is that people confuse him with Glenn.

 

A lesser filmmaker might make that a joke against Shepard:

 

“Poor guy, nobody remembers him.”

 

But Kaufman turns it into fuel.

 

The insult becomes the spark.

 

Shepard basically says:

 

“You think Glenn is the story? Wait.”

 

That is very generous.

 

And it also connects back to your long-running point about the “Right Stuff” being an ethos rather than a checklist.

 

The Right Stuff is not simply:

 

  • perfect pilot,
  • perfect record,
  • perfect career.

 

If it were, Shepard’s story would be impossible.

 

Shepard’s story includes:

 

  • being overshadowed,
  • being grounded,
  • being doubted,
  • becoming difficult.

 

But he still has that one thing: he refuses to disappear.

 

In that sense, Kaufman’s Shepard and Yeager are closer than they first appear.

 

Yeager says:
“I’m still the guy who can fly.”

 

Shepard says:
“I’m still the guy who can go.”

 

Different machines.
Different missions.
Same defiance.

 

And there is one more bittersweet point. The reason Hanks loves the Freedom 7 sequence is perhaps because he understands something Kaufman also understands:

 

History is cruel with firsts.

 

The first person often gets less glory than the person who completes the dream.

 

Shepard opened the door.
Glenn became the icon.
Armstrong became the legend.

 

But Kaufman quietly gives Shepard his due:

 

Not the first to orbit.
Not the first to walk on the Moon.

 

But the man who said:

 

“I’m on my way.”

 

That line may be the purest Shepard moment in the whole film.

 

 

 

>But he still has that one thing: he refuses to disappear.

 

>Yeager says: “I’m still the guy who can fly.”

 

>Shepard says: “I’m still the guy who can go.”

 

これらの簡潔なコメントで、この茶飲み相手には少なくとも純正ライトスタッフ・ファンとしての資質(もしくは、それを理解する心)があると認定したいですね、わたしは。(ま、茶ット全体が自分自身へのブレインダイブみたいなものだから当たり前なんだけど)